A milestone-based guide for DPC practices moving from survival to strategic operations
How to Use This Guide
Forget counting years. Your practice doesn’t develop on a calendar schedule.
Instead, practices evolve through distinct financial phases, each triggered by specific milestones. You might hit Phase 3 in 18 months or still be in Phase 2 after four years. Both are fine. What matters is recognizing which phase you’re in and managing finances accordingly.
On strategy and phases: Roger Martin reminds us that strategy is about making integrated choices, not just setting goals. Each phase requires different strategic choices about where to compete (which services, which patients, which markets) and how to win (through quality, convenience, specialization, or efficiency). Your financial decisions should flow from these strategic choices, not drive them.
Peter Drucker observed that “efficiency is doing things right; effectiveness is doing the right things.” Early phases require effectiveness (doing the right things to survive and stabilize). Later phases benefit from efficiency (doing established things better). Don’t confuse the two or apply the wrong focus at the wrong time.
The four phases:
- Stabilization Phase: You’ve survived startup, now build consistency
- Optimization Phase: Systems work, now improve margins and efficiency
- Expansion Phase: Core is strong, now consider strategic growth
- Maturity Phase: Established business, now maximize value and plan exit
Each phase has entry criteria, specific financial priorities, and different decision frameworks.
Phase 1: Stabilization
You’re in this phase when:
- You’ve been operating at least 6 months
- You have 150+ active patients
- Monthly revenue exceeds monthly expenses most months
- You’ve survived the initial panic and developed basic routines
- But cash flow still feels tight
- You’re doing almost everything yourself
- Profitability is inconsistent month-to-month
Typical timeframe: Months 6-24 (but can extend longer)
Financial Priority 1: Achieve Consistent Profitability
What this means: Profitable at least 9 out of 12 months, with losses explained by one-time events (equipment purchase, slow enrollment month), not structural problems.
Key metric to track: Monthly net profit margin
Target: 15-25% net margin (lower end is fine in early stabilization)
If you’re not hitting this:
RED FLAG: Panel too small – Need 250+ patients for most markets to cover basic overhead
RED FLAG: Pricing too low – Should be $75-150/month depending on market and services included
RED FLAG: Expenses too high – Operating expense ratio above 70% suggests waste or premature hiring
💡 PRO TIP: Don’t confuse “break-even” with “profitable.” Breaking even means you covered expenses but didn’t pay yourself appropriately. You should be generating enough profit to pay yourself at least $100K equivalent compensation at this stage.
Action items for this priority:
- Run P&L monthly without fail
- Calculate your true hourly rate (total compensation ÷ hours worked)
- If under $75/hour, you need more patients, higher prices, or lower expenses
- Build 1-2 months operating expenses in cash reserves
Financial Priority 2: Separate Business and Personal Finances
What this means: Business has its own bank account, credit card, and you’re taking regular, planned owner’s draws rather than just pulling money whenever.
Why this matters now: You can’t manage what you can’t measure. Mixed finances make it impossible to know if you’re actually profitable.
If you haven’t done this yet:
CRITICAL: Open business checking account this week. Not next month. This week. Transfer enough for next month’s expenses. Start fresh from there.
The minimal structure:
- Business checking account (all revenue goes here)
- Business credit card (all business expenses on this)
- Regular owner’s draw schedule (weekly or bi-weekly)
- Separate “tax holding” account (30% of profit goes here immediately)
💡 PRO TIP: Set up automatic transfer of 30% of every deposit into tax holding account. This single habit prevents 90% of tax-related cash flow crises.
Action items for this priority:
- Establish business banking this month
- Set owner’s draw schedule (even if it’s only $4,000/month to start)
- Create tax holding account with automatic transfers
- Stop using business funds for any personal expenses
Financial Priority 3: Make Your First Strategic Hire Decision
Milestone that triggers this: When you’re spending 15+ hours per week on non-clinical admin work (phones, scheduling, paperwork, billing follow-up)
The decision: Hire part-time admin help (15-25 hours/week)
Financial analysis required:
Current state:
- Your time on admin: 15 hours/week = 60 hours/month
- Opportunity cost: $150/hour (conservative) = $9,000/month in your time
- Clinical capacity: Limited by admin burden
Proposed state:
- Part-time admin: 20 hours/week at $20/hour = $1,600/month
- Payroll taxes/costs: ~$400/month
- Total cost: $2,000/month = $24,000/year
ROI scenarios:
Scenario A: You see more patients
- Freed capacity allows 8-10 additional enrollments monthly
- 10 patients × $100/month = $1,000/month = $12,000/year
- Net cost: $12,000/year (50% cost recovery)
- Payback period: You break even within 2 years of compounded growth
Scenario B: You improve quality of life
- Same patient count
- You work fewer hours or have less stress
- Net cost: $24,000/year
- Value: This is worth it if $2,000/month of stress reduction matters to you
💡 PRO TIP: Most physicians wait 6-12 months too long to make this hire. If you have 200+ patients, you can afford this. The question isn’t “can I afford it?” but “can I afford not to?”
RED FLAG: If you can’t afford $24K/year for admin help at 250+ patients, your pricing is too low. A $10/month price increase across 250 patients = $30K annual revenue. Problem solved.
Drucker’s question applies here: “What is our business?” If your answer is “I provide medical care,” you’ll resist hiring because you see yourself as the sole provider. If your answer is “We operate a direct primary care practice that delivers exceptional patient experience,” hiring becomes essential to fulfilling that mission. The question isn’t whether you can afford help—it’s whether you can afford not to have it when it’s required to deliver on your core business definition.
Action items for this priority:
- Calculate actual hours spent on admin weekly
- Model the cost (use numbers above)
- If ROI is positive or quality of life improvement is worth cost, post job ad this month
- Start with part-time, raise to full-time when you hit 400+ patients
Exit Criteria for Stabilization Phase
You’re ready for Phase 2 (Optimization) when:
- You’re profitable 10+ months per year
- You have 2-3 months operating expenses in cash reserves
- You’re paying yourself regularly on a set schedule
- You have at least part-time admin help
- Panel is 300+ patients
- Monthly financials are reviewed (even if basic)
Don’t rush out of this phase. Stabilization is the foundation. Weak foundations mean everything else cracks. Better to spend 24 months here building properly than rush to Phase 2 and struggle.
Martin’s cascade of choices applies: Each phase builds on the previous. Choosing to move to Phase 2 before completing Phase 1 isn’t ambition, it’s poor strategy. Your capabilities (systems, team, cash reserves) must support your aspirations (growth, expansion, complexity). Misalignment between capabilities and aspirations creates what Martin calls “a trap”—you’ve committed to a strategy you can’t execute.
Phase 2: Optimization
You’re in this phase when:
- Consistently profitable (10+ months/year)
- Panel is 300-500 patients
- You have basic team support (at least part-time admin)
- Cash reserves cover 2-3 months expenses
- Monthly financials are routine
- But profit margins could be better
- You’re still doing work that doesn’t require a physician
- Not tracking detailed metrics beyond basic P&L
Typical timeframe: Can last 1-4 years depending on growth goals
Financial Priority 1: Optimize Your Margin Structure
What this means: Understanding what activities generate profit vs what activities consume it, then intentionally doing more of the former.
Key analysis: Revenue per patient by service type
Step 1: Break down your revenue sources
Example practice with 400 patients:
- Membership fees: 400 × $100/month = $40,000/month = $480,000/year
- Procedures: $25,000/year
- Labs/diagnostics markup: $15,000/year
- Weight management program: 50 patients × $150/month = $90,000/year
- Total: $610,000/year
Step 2: Calculate margin for each service line
Membership (core service):
- Revenue per patient: $1,200/year
- Direct costs: $150/year (supplies, EHR allocation)
- Time investment: 24 hours/year at $150 effective rate = $360/year
- Allocated overhead: $250/year
- Net margin: $440/year per patient = 37%
Weight management add-on:
- Additional revenue: $1,800/year
- Direct costs: $500/year (if using GLP-1 medications)
- Additional time: 8 hours/year = $100/year
- Allocated overhead: $100/year
- Net margin: $1,100/year = 61%
Procedures (joint injections, minor surgery):
- Average revenue: $300/year per patient who gets procedures
- Direct costs: $50/year
- Time: 1.5 hours/year = $19/year
- Net margin: $231/year = 77%
💡 PRO TIP: High-margin services like procedures, aesthetics, and specialized programs can dramatically improve practice profitability without increasing panel size pressure.
Insight from this analysis:
- A patient paying $100/month membership + $150/month weight management = $250/month = $3,000/year revenue
- That patient is worth 2.5x a membership-only patient
- Growing revenue per patient is easier than growing panel size
Roger Martin’s “where to play” framework is useful here: Instead of competing for more patients in a crowded market (playing where everyone else plays), you can win by playing in profitable service niches your competitors ignore. The weight management example above isn’t just about revenue—it’s about strategic positioning in a specific value space where you can win.
Drucker would ask: “What does the customer value?” If patients value comprehensive care that extends beyond acute visits to include weight management, mental health, and procedures, then offering only basic membership means you’re not fully meeting customer needs. The margin analysis gives you permission to meet those needs profitably.
Action items for this priority:
- Calculate margin for each major service line you offer
- Identify which services generate highest margin
- Consider adding high-margin services (procedures, aesthetics, specialized programs)
- Target: Increase revenue per patient from $1,200-1,500/year to $1,800-2,400/year
RED FLAG: If you don’t know which services are actually profitable, you’re managing blind. This analysis should take 2-3 hours. Do it this month.
Financial Priority 2: Upgrade Your Team Structure
Milestone that triggers this: Your part-time admin can’t keep up, or you’re still doing work that doesn’t require your clinical training.
The decision framework:
Situation A: Admin is overwhelmed
- Part-time admin hits 25+ hours regularly
- Patient experience suffering (long hold times, scheduling delays)
- You’re filling gaps in admin coverage
Solution: Upgrade to full-time admin (40 hours/week)
- Additional cost: ~$20,000/year (from $24K to $44K annually)
- Benefit: Reliable coverage, better patient experience, systems that actually work
- Trigger point: 400+ patients
Situation B: You’re doing too much clinical support work
- Rooming patients, taking vitals, processing labs, giving injections
- This work doesn’t require physician training
- Limits your patient capacity
Solution: Add part-time MA or LPN (20-30 hours/week)
- Cost: $30,000-40,000/year
- Benefit: See 2-3 more patients per day = 400-600 additional appointments/year
- Trigger point: 500+ patients or when clinical capacity is your growth limiter
Situation C: Specialized program growth
- Weight management, mental health, or other service line taking significant time
- Could delegate to APP or specialized nurse
Solution: Hire APP or specialized nurse part-time
- Cost: $50,000-70,000/year for part-time
- Benefit: Expand service capacity without your direct time
- Trigger point: 100+ patients in specialized program
💡 PRO TIP: Right hiring sequence for most practices:
- Part-time admin (trigger: 200-250 patients)
- Full-time admin (trigger: 400 patients)
- Part-time MA/LPN (trigger: 500 patients or clinical capacity constraint)
- Full-time MA or part-time APP (trigger: 600+ patients)
Financial model for each hire:
Must answer three questions:
- What’s the annual cost? (salary + taxes + benefits = typically salary × 1.25)
- What revenue will it generate or enable? (freed capacity × utilization rate × average revenue)
- What’s the payback period? (total cost ÷ annual net benefit)
Example: Adding full-time MA at 550 patients
Cost analysis:
- Salary: $42,000
- Taxes/benefits: $10,000
- Total: $52,000/year
Revenue impact:
- Frees 15 hours/week of your clinical time
- You can see 3 additional patients per day = 720 additional appointments/year
- Even at 50% capacity utilization = 360 extra appointments
- Or 30 additional members enrolled over 12 months
- Additional revenue: 30 patients × $1,500/year = $45,000/year
Net impact:
- Year one: -$7,000 (while ramping)
- Year two: +$45,000 (full capacity)
- Payback: 15 months
Is it worth it? Yes, if you actually use the freed capacity. No, if you just work fewer hours (unless that’s worth $52K to you).
Action items for this priority:
- Map current team structure and hours
- Identify bottlenecks (admin capacity, clinical capacity, specialized services)
- Model next hire using framework above
- Make hire when model shows 18-month payback or better
Financial Priority 3: Implement Real Financial Reporting
What this means: Moving beyond basic P&L to management reports that inform decisions.
Milestone that triggers this: When you’re making hiring, pricing, or investment decisions that require data beyond “do I have cash available?”
The essential reports for Phase 2:
Report 1: Comparative P&L
- Current month vs. prior month
- Current month vs. same month last year
- Year-to-date actuals
- Variance explanations for anything >15%
Why it matters: Trends are more important than single months. Revenue spike one month followed by drop the next might be timing, not a problem. But three consecutive months of declining revenue is a trend requiring action.
Report 2: Key Metrics Dashboard
Track these monthly:
- Active patient count (end of month)
- New enrollments
- Cancellations/departures
- Net growth
- Revenue per patient (total revenue ÷ patient count)
- Operating expense per patient
- Profit margin percentage
- Cash balance and months of runway
- Patient retention rate
Report 3: Cash Flow Projection
- 6-month rolling forecast
- Starting cash + expected revenue – expected expenses = projected ending cash
- Update monthly with actuals
💡 PRO TIP: These three reports should take 90 minutes monthly to produce if you have decent systems. If they take longer, your bookkeeping process needs optimization or you need help.
How to use these reports:
Monthly routine (30 minutes):
- Review comparative P&L – any surprises?
- Check metrics dashboard – what improved, what declined?
- Update cash flow forecast – comfortable with 6-month outlook?
- Identify 1-2 action items from what you learned
Quarterly routine (2 hours):
- Deep dive on trends across three months
- Compare to same quarter last year
- Assess if you’re on track for annual goals
- Make strategic adjustments
RED FLAG: If you can’t produce these reports within 10 days of month-end, your financial systems aren’t adequate for Phase 2. Either improve your process or hire a bookkeeper.
Action items for this priority:
- Set up report templates this month (one-time effort)
- Block 90 minutes on calendar for monthly financial review
- Track metrics for 3 months to establish baseline
- Make first strategic adjustment based on data
Financial Priority 4: Optimize Tax Structure
Milestone that triggers this: When you’re consistently profitable ($80K+ annual net income) and want to reduce tax burden.
Key decisions in Phase 2:
Decision 1: Entity structure
If you’re still a sole proprietor (Schedule C):
Evaluate S-Corp election when:
- Net income consistently exceeds $80,000/year
- You’re paying 15.3% self-employment tax on all profit
- S-Corp can save $8,000-15,000 annually in taxes
How S-Corp works:
- You pay yourself W-2 salary (reasonable compensation)
- Remaining profit distributes without self-employment tax
- Saves ~15.3% on the distribution portion
Example:
- Practice profit: $150,000
- Sole proprietor: Pay self-employment tax on full $150K = $22,950
- S-Corp: W-2 salary $90K (pay employment taxes) + $60K distribution (no self-employment tax)
- Tax savings: $60K × 15.3% = $9,180/year
Cost: $1,500-2,500 annually for additional tax prep and payroll processing
Break-even: $80K profit (where savings exceed additional costs)
💡 PRO TIP: Don’t do S-Corp until your profit is stable above $80K. The compliance requirements aren’t worth it for smaller profit levels.
Decision 2: Retirement plan
When profit exceeds $100K consistently, implement retirement plan:
Option A: SEP IRA (simplest)
- Contribute up to 25% of W-2 compensation
- Example: $120K salary × 25% = $30K contribution
- Reduces taxable income by $30K
- Easy to set up and maintain
Option B: Solo 401(k) (better if you want to save more)
- Employee contribution: up to $23,000 (2024 limit)
- Employer contribution: up to 25% of W-2
- Total limit: $69,000 (2024)
- Example: $23K + $30K (25% of $120K) = $53K total contribution
- More setup required but worth it for higher savings
Tax impact:
- $50K contribution saves $50K × your marginal rate
- If you’re at 32% federal + 5% state = 37% effective
- Tax savings: $50K × 37% = $18,500
💡 PRO TIP: By Phase 2 with consistent $100K+ profit, you should have a Solo 401(k) at minimum. The tax savings alone often exceed the setup and maintenance costs.
Action items for this priority:
- If profit >$80K consistently, discuss S-Corp with CPA
- If profit >$100K, set up Solo 401(k) or SEP IRA
- Calculate actual tax savings to verify ROI
- Implement before year-end to capture current year deduction
Exit Criteria for Optimization Phase
You’re ready for Phase 3 (Expansion) when:
- Panel is 500+ patients (or at target capacity for your model)
- Net profit margin is 30-40% consistently
- You have full-time admin plus additional team support
- Cash reserves cover 4-6 months expenses
- Financial reporting is routine and decision-useful
- Tax structure is optimized (S-Corp, retirement plan)
- Revenue per patient is $1,800+ annually
- You have freed capacity (clinical or strategic time)
Critical question: Do you want to expand, or optimize for income and lifestyle?
Many practices stay in Phase 2 indefinitely by choice. A solo physician with optimal panel size (600 patients), strong margins (40%), and excellent team support can generate $250-350K income with manageable hours. That’s a great business. Expansion isn’t required.
This is a critical strategic choice that Martin emphasizes: Not all strategies require growth. Sometimes the right strategy is optimization within current scope. There’s no shame in choosing a high-quality, high-margin, personally manageable practice over an expanding enterprise. The mistake is drifting into expansion without making a conscious strategic choice.
Drucker observed that “because the purpose of business is to create a customer, the business enterprise has two—and only two—basic functions: marketing and innovation.” In Phase 2, you can innovate through better service delivery, new offerings to existing patients, or improved systems. Expansion to Phase 3 is one form of innovation, but not the only one. Choose based on what serves your customers and your personal goals, not because expansion seems like “what you’re supposed to do.”
But if you want to build something bigger, something with significant equity value, or something that can operate without you, then you move to Phase 3.
Phase 3: Expansion
You’re in this phase when:
- Core practice is stable and profitable
- You’ve made the intentional decision to expand
- You have capacity (time, cash, or both) to invest in growth
- You’re ready for increased complexity
- But haven’t yet added physicians/major locations/significant infrastructure
Entry is by choice, not timeline. You can stay in Phase 2 forever if that serves your goals.
Critical Decision Point: What Type of Expansion?
Before moving forward, choose your expansion strategy:
Martin’s framework demands this clarity: Strategy is an integrated set of choices. You can’t choose “grow revenue” without also choosing WHERE you’ll grow it (new services, new markets, new providers) and HOW you’ll win in that expanded space. Vague expansion goals lead to scattered execution and mediocre results.
Drucker’s guidance: “Concentration is the key to economic results. Economic results require that managers concentrate their efforts on the smallest number of products, product lines, services, customers, markets, distribution channels, end uses, and so on that will produce the largest amount of revenue.”
Translation: Pick ONE expansion strategy and execute it well. Don’t simultaneously add service lines, open new locations, and bring on partners. That’s diffusion, not concentration.
Strategy A: Service Line Expansion
- Add high-margin services to existing patient base
- Aesthetics, weight management, mental health, IV therapy, etc.
- Lower risk, uses existing infrastructure
- Increases revenue per patient, not patient count
Where to play: Deeper relationship with existing patients
How to win: Through broader service offering than competitors
Strategy B: Geographic Expansion
- Second location in different area
- Same services, different market
- Higher risk and capital requirement
- Builds geographic brand and enterprise value
Where to play: New geographic market
How to win: Through replication of proven model in underserved area
Strategy C: Provider Expansion
- Add APP or second physician to existing location
- Increase capacity without new real estate
- Moderate risk and complexity
- Allows panel growth beyond solo capacity
Where to play: Same market with greater capacity
How to win: Through better access and availability than solo practice can provide
Strategy D: Partner/Associate Model
- Bring on physician as partner or employee
- They build their own panel or share existing
- Complex legal and financial structure
- Builds toward eventual sale or transition
Where to play: Building enterprise value for eventual transition
How to win: Through leverage of brand and systems across multiple physicians
You must choose before proceeding. Each requires completely different financial analysis and represents mutually exclusive strategic choices in the short term.
Financial Framework for Service Line Expansion
Best for: Practices at capacity (600+ patients) wanting to increase revenue without adding significant overhead
The analysis:
Step 1: Evaluate potential service lines
Compare opportunities based on:
- Startup capital required
- Ongoing costs (supplies, medications, staff time)
- Revenue potential
- Margin profile
- Your interest and capability
- Market demand
Example comparison:
Aesthetic services (Botox, fillers):
- Startup capital: $5,000-15,000 (training, initial product inventory)
- Revenue potential: $50,000-150,000/year
- Margin: 60-70%
- Staff: Can delegate to trained nurse
- Risk: Moderate (requires skill development, liability)
Weight management (GLP-1 program):
- Startup capital: $2,000-5,000 (protocols, initial supply)
- Revenue potential: $80,000-200,000/year (50-100 patients at $150-200/month)
- Margin: 40-50% (medication costs significant)
- Staff: You or APP can manage
- Risk: Low (established protocols, high demand)
Mental health integration:
- Startup capital: $10,000-25,000 (hire part-time LCSW or psychiatric NP)
- Revenue potential: $60,000-120,000/year
- Margin: 30-40% (labor intensive)
- Staff: Requires licensed mental health provider
- Risk: Moderate (scope of practice issues, billing complexity)
Step 2: Model financial impact
Example: Adding weight management program
Assumptions:
- Target: 50 patients in program by month 12
- Price: $150/month
- Medication cost: $80/month per patient
- Additional admin time: 5 hours/month at $25/hour
- Your time: 10 hours/month at $150/hour
Financial projection:
Month 6 (half-ramped):
- Patients enrolled: 25
- Revenue: 25 × $150 = $3,750/month
- Medication costs: 25 × $80 = $2,000/month
- Admin time: $125/month
- Physician time: $1,500/month
- Net margin: $125/month (basically break-even during ramp)
Month 12 (fully ramped):
- Patients enrolled: 50
- Revenue: 50 × $150 = $7,500/month = $90,000/year
- Medication costs: 50 × $80 = $4,000/month = $48,000/year
- Admin time: $125/month = $1,500/year
- Physician time: $1,500/month = $18,000/year
- Net profit: $22,500/year (25% margin)
ROI analysis:
- Startup investment: $3,000
- Time to positive cash flow: 6-8 months
- Annual profit once ramped: $22,500
- Payback: 2 months after full ramp
- Year two+ annual profit: $22,500
Is it worth it?
- Financially: Yes, if you can sustain 50+ patients
- Strategically: Increases revenue per patient, enhances retention
- Operationally: Manageable time commitment (10 hours/month)
💡 PRO TIP: Service line expansion has highest ROI and lowest risk of all expansion strategies. Start here before considering second locations or adding physicians.
Martin’s logic: Service line expansion leverages your existing capabilities (patient relationships, clinical expertise, operational infrastructure) without requiring new capabilities (multi-site management, physician recruitment, geographic market knowledge). It’s what he’d call an “obvious choice”—playing where you’re already strong.
Drucker would add: “Do first things first, and second things not at all.” Service line expansion is often the “first thing” for practices in Phase 3. It requires the least capital, presents the lowest risk, and can be tested at small scale before full commitment. Geographic expansion or adding physicians might be exciting, but they’re often “second things” that should wait until service line expansion is maximized.
Action items:
- Research 2-3 potential service lines
- Model financial impact using framework above
- Choose one with best margin and market demand
- Launch pilot with 20-patient target
- Scale once pilot proves viable
Financial Framework for Provider Expansion
Best for: Practices at capacity wanting to grow panel size beyond solo physician limits
The decision: APP vs. Physician
Option A: Add APP (NP or PA)
Pros:
- Lower compensation ($110K-130K vs $180K-220K for physician)
- Can supervise and guide their practice patterns
- Flexibility in scope (chronic disease management, wellness visits, procedures)
Cons:
- Supervision requirements in some states
- May be limited scope depending on state practice act
- Patients might prefer MD/DO for complex issues
Option B: Add Associate Physician
Pros:
- Full scope of practice
- Can build independent panel
- Higher patient confidence
- Potential future partner
Cons:
- Higher compensation ($180K-220K base)
- More autonomy (less control)
- May leave and take patients
- Partnership expectations/negotiations
Financial model for APP:
Year one projection:
Assumptions:
- APP compensation: $120,000
- Benefits/taxes: $25,000
- Total APP cost: $145,000/year
- Ramp: 0 to 200 patients over 12 months
- Revenue per patient: $1,500/year (blended)
- Proportional operating expense increase: 15%
Monthly ramp:
- Month 1-3: 30 patients enrolled
- Month 4-6: 30 additional (60 total)
- Month 7-9: 40 additional (100 total)
- Month 10-12: 100 additional (200 total)
Financial impact by quarter:
Q1:
- Revenue: 15 patients average × $1,500 ÷ 12 months = $1,875/month
- APP cost: $12,083/month
- Additional operating expense: $281/month
- Net: -$10,489/month = -$31,467 quarterly loss
Q2:
- Revenue: 45 patients average × $125/month = $5,625/month
- Costs: $12,364/month
- Net: -$6,739/month = -$20,217 quarterly loss
Q3:
- Revenue: 80 patients average × $125/month = $10,000/month
- Costs: $12,583/month
- Net: -$2,583/month = -$7,749 quarterly loss
Q4:
- Revenue: 150 patients average × $125/month = $18,750/month
- Costs: $13,302/month
- Net: +$5,448/month = +$16,344 quarterly profit
Year one total: loss of $43,089
Year two projection (full 200 patients for 12 months):
- Revenue: 200 × $1,500 = $300,000
- APP cost: $150,000 (includes raises)
- Proportional operating expense: $45,000
- Net profit: $105,000
Year three+ (growth to 250 patients):
- Revenue: 250 × $1,500 = $375,000
- Costs: $200,000
- Net profit: $175,000
Critical insights:
- You need $45K-50K cash to cover year one losses
- Break-even happens around month 10-11
- Year two generates significant profit ($105K)
- Cumulative break-even: month 16-17
- After that, APP generates $100K+ annual profit
💡 PRO TIP: Most APP hires lose money for 9-12 months. Plan accordingly. If you don’t have cash reserves to cover this, you’re not ready.
RED FLAG: If APP doesn’t reach 150+ patients by month 12, investigate why. Market demand problem, APP capability issue, or inadequate marketing support?
Action items for provider expansion:
- Verify you have $50K+ available to fund year-one losses
- Decide APP vs physician based on state regulations and practice needs
- Model financial impact using framework above
- Don’t hire until model shows you can sustain losses during ramp
- Create detailed onboarding and patient enrollment plan before hiring
Financial Framework for Geographic Expansion
Best for: Established practices (3+ years) with strong brand wanting to scale to multiple locations
Warning: This is the highest-risk, highest-capital expansion strategy. Most practices that fail do so attempting second locations too early.
Prerequisites before considering:
- Primary location: 500+ patients, 35%+ profit margin, stable operations
- Cash reserves: $150K+ available for investment
- Systems documented: Someone besides you knows how things work
- Brand strength: Market reputation that translates to new location
- Management capability: You can oversee multiple locations effectively
The financial model:
Startup capital required:
- Buildout/improvements: $40,000 to $100,000
- Equipment and furniture: $20,000 to $40,000
- Initial inventory and supplies: $5,000 to $10,000
- Marketing for launch: $10,000 to $20,000
- Working capital (6 months operating expenses): $100,000 to $150,000
- Total: $175,000 to $320,000
Ongoing costs (location two):
- Physician/APP compensation: $150,000 to $200,000
- Rent: $30,000 to $60,000/year
- Staff (admin, MA): $60,000 to $80,000
- Proportional operating expenses: $40,000 to $60,000
- Total annual: $280,000 to $400,000
Revenue projection:
Year one:
- Month 1 to 6: Ramp from 0 to 150 patients (avg 75)
- Month 7 to 12: Ramp from 150 to 300 patients (avg 225)
- Average patients year one: 150
- Revenue: 150 × $1,500 = $225,000
- Loss: negative $125,000 to negative $175,000
Year two:
- Ramp from 300 to 500 patients
- Average patients: 400
- Revenue: 400 × $1,500 = $600,000
- Costs: $350,000
- Profit: $250,000 (but still paying back year one losses)
Year three:
- Stabilize at 600 patients
- Revenue: 600 × $1,500 = $900,000
- Costs: $375,000
- Profit: $525,000
Cumulative break-even: Month 28 to 32 (nearly 3 years)
Is it worth it?
Financially:
- Requires $200K-300K capital you can’t touch for 3 years
- After break-even, generates $500K+ annual profit
- Builds significant enterprise value (two locations worth more than 2× one location)
Strategically:
- Geographic diversification reduces risk
- Brand strengthening
- Enables future growth to 3-5 locations
- Creates enterprise that can be sold
Operationally:
- Significantly increased complexity
- Management demands multiply
- Quality control challenges
- You can’t be in two places simultaneously
Drucker’s crucial question: “If we were not already in this business, would we enter it today?” Applied here: “If we weren’t already considering a second location, knowing what we now know about the capital requirement, timeline, complexity, and management burden, would we still choose this path?”
If the honest answer is no, that’s important data. The sunk cost of investigation doesn’t obligate you to proceed.
Martin on this decision: Geographic expansion represents a fundamentally different strategic choice than optimizing a single location. You’re not just doing more of the same—you’re changing WHERE you play (multiple geographic markets) and likely HOW you win (through systems and management rather than personal clinical excellence). Be certain this aligns with your actual aspirations and capabilities, not just what seems like logical growth.
💡 PRO TIP: Most successful multi-location DPC practices opened location two in years 4-6, not years 2-3. The ones that opened earlier often regretted it.
RED FLAG: If location one isn’t generating $200K+ annual profit with 35%+ margins, you’re not ready for location two. Fix location one first.
Action items if seriously considering:
- Verify prerequisites are truly met (don’t rationalize)
- Model complete financial impact including opportunity cost
- Ensure you have $250K+ liquid capital available
- Document all systems from location one
- Hire experienced healthcare practice consultant
- Don’t proceed unless you’re willing to commit 5+ years to multi-location growth
Exit Criteria for Expansion Phase
You’ve successfully completed expansion when:
- New service line, provider, or location is profitable
- Expansion didn’t compromise primary practice operations
- Systems and processes work across expanded scope
- Team can handle increased complexity
- Cash reserves remain strong (4-6 months)
- You’ve achieved the strategic objective that prompted expansion
Now you enter Phase 4 (Maturity), where focus shifts to maximizing value and planning eventual exit or transition.
Phase 4: Maturity
You’re in this phase when:
- Practice is established (typically 5+ years, but milestones matter more than time)
- Panel is stable at target size (whether 600 solo or 2,000 across multiple providers)
- Systems operate reliably without constant intervention
- Financial performance is predictable
- Team is stable and capable
- But growth has plateaued or slowed significantly
- You’re thinking about eventual exit, transition, or sale
- The question shifts from “how do I grow?” to “what’s next?”
Drucker’s observation: “The only thing we know about the future is that it will be different.” Maturity doesn’t mean stagnation. It means you’ve built something stable enough that you can make intentional choices about what comes next, rather than reacting to survival pressures.
Martin’s framing: In maturity, your strategic question changes. Early phases ask “How do we compete?” Maturity asks “How do we sustain advantage?” and eventually “How do we transition or exit while preserving value?”
Financial Priority 1: Understand Your Practice Valuation
What this means: Knowing what your practice is actually worth if you wanted to sell, bring on a partner, or transition to another physician.
Why it matters in maturity: Even if sale isn’t imminent, valuation thinking clarifies what builds value vs. what just generates income.
Valuation methods for DPC practices:
Method 1: Revenue multiple
- Small medical practices typically sell for 0.4-0.8× annual revenue
- Higher multiple for practices with strong systems, low owner-dependence
- Lower multiple for practices entirely dependent on founding physician
Example:
- Practice revenue: $900,000/year
- Moderate systems, some owner dependence
- Likely multiple: 0.5 to 0.6×
- Estimated value: $450,000 to $540,000
Method 2: EBITDA multiple
- Medical practices typically 3-5× EBITDA
- EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization
- Essentially: profit before owner compensation and accounting adjustments
Example:
- Revenue: $900,000
- Operating expenses: $450,000
- Owner compensation: $200,000
- EBITDA: $250,000
- Multiple: 4× (mid-range)
- Estimated value: $1,000,000
Method 3: Discounted cash flow
- Projects future profits and discounts to present value
- More sophisticated but more accurate for growing practices
- Requires assumptions about growth rate and risk
What increases practice value:
Drucker’s perspective: “The purpose of a business is to create and keep a customer.” Practices with high patient retention (95%+), strong patient satisfaction, and predictable revenue growth create more value than those with constant churn and unstable panels.
Martin’s view: Sustainable competitive advantage creates value. If your advantage is purely your personal clinical skill, the advantage (and value) disappears when you do. If your advantage is a systematic approach to care delivery, strong brand, efficient operations, or unique service mix, that advantage—and value—transfers to a new owner.
Factors that increase valuation:
- Patient retention >94% annually
- Low owner dependence (practice can operate 2+ weeks without you)
- Documented systems and processes
- Strong brand and market reputation
- Multiple revenue streams (not just membership fees)
- Profitable track record (3+ years of consistent profit)
- Scalable model (not maxed out on capacity)
- Clean financial records
Factors that decrease valuation:
- High patient churn (>10% annually)
- Complete owner dependence (“the practice IS the physician”)
- Undocumented or inconsistent processes
- Single revenue source (just membership)
- Erratic profitability
- Messy or incomplete financials
- Maxed capacity with no growth potential
💡 PRO TIP: Make decisions throughout your practice growth as if you’ll eventually sell, even if you never do. This discipline ensures you’re building equity, not just earning income.
Financial Priority 2: Maximize Sustainable Profit Margin
What this means: Achieving the highest profit margin you can sustain long-term without compromising quality, patient satisfaction, or your own well-being.
Why it matters in maturity: Whether you stay or sell, profit margin determines both current income and future value.
Target margins by practice type:
Solo practice (500 to 600 patients):
- Gross margin: 50 to 55% (revenue minus direct costs)
- Operating margin: 35 to 45% (after all operating expenses)
- Net margin after owner fair compensation: 25 to 35%
Small group (2 to 3 physicians):
- Gross margin: 48 to 52%
- Operating margin: 32 to 40%
- Net margin: 22 to 30%
Multi-location enterprise (4+ physicians):
- Gross margin: 45 to 50%
- Operating margin: 28 to 35%
- Net margin: 18 to 25%
Why margins decline with scale:
- Management overhead increases
- Coordination complexity rises
- Quality control requires more resources
- Some entrepreneurial efficiency is lost
Martin’s insight on margins: Margin isn’t just about cutting costs. It’s about value capture. If you’re delivering exceptional value but charging average prices, you’re leaving money on the table. If you’re charging premium prices but delivering average value, you’re vulnerable to competition. Sustainable margin comes from aligned value delivery and value capture.
Actions to maximize margin in maturity:
1. Price optimization
- Review pricing every 12-18 months
- Ensure prices reflect value delivered and market positioning
- Don’t compete on price unless that’s your explicit strategy
- Annual 3-5% increases should be standard for inflation
2. Service mix optimization
- Double down on high-margin services (procedures, specialty programs)
- Reduce or eliminate low-margin offerings unless strategic
- Bundle services to capture more value per patient
3. Operational efficiency
- Eliminate waste in supplies, time, and administrative processes
- Invest in technology that reduces labor costs
- Negotiate better rates with vendors (you have leverage in maturity)
- Optimize scheduling to maximize provider utilization
4. Strategic staffing
- Right-size team (not too lean, not over-staffed)
- Delegate appropriately (physician shouldn’t do $20/hour work)
- Invest in training to increase staff capability and reduce turnover
Drucker’s warning: “There is nothing quite so useless as doing with great efficiency something that should not be done at all.” Before optimizing operations, ensure you’re doing the right things. Efficiency in service of the wrong strategy just gets you to the wrong place faster.
Financial Priority 3: Plan Your Transition or Exit
What this means: Having a specific plan for how you’ll eventually transition out of the practice, whether through sale, partnership succession, or gradual phase-out.
Why it matters: Practices built with exit in mind are worth more and transition more smoothly than those built with no exit consideration.
Exit options in maturity:
Option A: Sell to another physician
- You find a physician to buy the practice
- Transfer patients over transition period (typically 6-12 months)
- You receive lump sum or structured payments
- Clean exit, you’re done after transition
Financial structure:
- Valuation per methods above ($500K to $1.5M typical range for established DPC)
- Payment: Often 30 to 50% down, remainder over 3 to 5 years
- Transition period: You stay on 3 to 6 months to ensure continuity
- Earn-out: Sometimes includes performance-based payments if patient retention exceeds targets
Option B: Bring on partner with succession plan
- Partner buys in over time (5-7 years)
- You gradually reduce hours and ownership
- Eventually partner owns 100%, you exit
- Smoother transition for patients
Financial structure:
- Initial buy-in: 20 to 30% of valuation at start
- Annual purchases: Partner buys additional ownership yearly
- Income shift: As ownership transfers, so does profit distribution
- Timeline: 5 to 7 years to full transition
Option C: Merge with or sell to group practice
- Larger organization acquires your practice
- You may stay on as employee or partner
- Immediate liquidity but less control
Financial structure:
- Often lower valuation than solo sale (groups have negotiating leverage)
- Typically all-cash transaction
- May include employment agreement (1 to 3 years)
- Less common in DPC than traditional primary care
Option D: Gradual phase-out without sale
- Reduce hours over time
- Transition patients to other providers
- Eventually close practice
- Lowest financial return but maximum control
Martin’s strategic lens: Your exit strategy should align with the business you built. If you built a highly systematized, brand-driven practice with strong team capabilities, it has significant value to a buyer. If you built a practice around your personal clinical relationships, it has less transferable value. Choose your exit option accordingly.
Drucker’s principle: “The best time to ask ‘What is our business?’ is when you’re successful, not when you’re in trouble.” In maturity, revisit this question. Is your business something that can be transitioned, or have you built an exceptional job? Neither is wrong, but the answer determines realistic exit options.
PRO TIP: Begin exit planning 3 to 5 years before intended exit. This gives time to optimize for sale, document systems, reduce owner dependence, and find the right buyer or successor.
Financial Priority 4: Optimize Personal Financial Structure
What this means: Extracting maximum value from the practice for your personal financial goals (retirement, wealth building, lifestyle) in tax-efficient ways.
Why it matters in maturity: You’ve built something valuable. Now ensure you’re personally benefiting optimally from that value.
Advanced strategies for mature practices:
Strategy 1: Maximize retirement contributions
By maturity with stable $200K+ profit, you should be using the most aggressive retirement vehicles:
Defined Benefit Plan:
- Can shelter $200,000 to $300,000 annually if profit supports it
- Requires actuarial setup and management ($4,000 to $6,000/year)
- Makes sense if you’re 50+ and generating consistent $400K+ profit
- Tax savings can be $75,000 to $100,000 annually at top brackets
Strategy 2: Real estate ownership structure
Instead of: Paying rent to landlord
Consider:
- You (personally or through LLC) buy the property
- Practice pays you rent (market rate)
- Rent is deductible expense for practice
- Rent is income to you, but offset by depreciation, interest, property expenses
- You build equity in real estate while reducing practice taxable income
Example:
- Market rent: $4,000/month = $48,000/year
- Property cost: $500,000
- Down payment: $125,000 (25%)
- Mortgage: $375,000 at 6% = $27,000/year
- Property taxes, insurance, maintenance: $8,000/year
- Depreciation: $18,000/year (building only, ~$500K ÷ 27.5 years) Net effect: $48K income minus $27K mortgage minus $8K expenses minus $18K depreciation = negative $5K (tax loss)
- Meanwhile, you’re building equity through mortgage paydown and appreciation
Strategy 3: Family employment
If legitimate work is being performed:
- Employ adult children in the practice
- Shifts income from your high bracket to their lower bracket
- They contribute to retirement accounts (compounding advantage of early start)
- They learn business skills
Must be legitimate: Actual work, reasonable pay, proper documentation.
Drucker’s wisdom: “Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things.” At this phase, you should be leading your personal financial strategy, not just managing day-to-day practice finances. This often requires working with qualified advisors (CPA, financial planner, attorney) who can structure sophisticated strategies you’d never discover alone.
Exit Criteria for Maturity Phase
There is no “next phase” after maturity. Instead, maturity ends with one of these outcomes:
- Successful sale or transition: Practice transfers to new ownership, you exit with financial success
- Sustainable lifestyle practice: You optimize for income and quality of life indefinitely
- Strategic refresh: You reinvent the practice with new strategy, essentially starting a new growth cycle
- Graceful wind-down: You gradually reduce scope and eventually close on your terms
The measure of success in maturity: Did you build something that served your strategic objectives?
If your objective was maximum income with lifestyle balance, and you achieved $300K+ income working 35 hours weekly, you won.
If your objective was building enterprise value for eventual sale, and you sold for $1.2M, you won.
If your objective was serving a specific patient community for your entire career, and you did that with satisfaction for 30 years, you won.
Martin’s final point: “Strategy is not about perfection. It’s about making good enough choices, consistently, in an integrated way.” Your financial management throughout these phases doesn’t need to be perfect. It needs to be good enough, consistent, and aligned with your strategic choices about where to play and how to win.
Drucker’s lasting question: “What is the one thing that, if done excellently and consistently, would have the greatest positive impact on your practice?”
In Phase 1, it’s probably achieving profitability.
In Phase 2, it’s likely optimizing operations.
In Phase 3, it’s executing your expansion strategy well.
In Phase 4, it’s maximizing value for your chosen exit path.
Identify that one thing for your current phase. Do it excellently. Everything else is secondary.
About the Author
Daniel is the founder of DPC Bookkeeper, a specialized accounting firm serving direct primary care practices. After working with hundreds of independent physicians across all growth phases, he’s seen what financial strategies actually work and which create expensive problems. This guide synthesizes those patterns, combined with strategic thinking from Roger Martin and Peter Drucker, to help DPC physicians make better financial decisions at each phase of practice development.
DPC Bookkeeper – Financial infrastructure for independent practices.